UEFA Europa League
Thu 13 Aug
17:00
The Morning Slate's strongest view
Under 3.5 · 75.3%
Slightly over-confident at this range— 445 past predictions in this bucket; observed 75% vs claimed 78%
How accurate is this kind of prediction historically?
Pro users see which calibration bucket this prediction sits in, its observed hit rate, and sample size — the same numbers we publish on the trust ratchet.
Pinnacle benchmark + best available across other bookmakers.
Pro users see Pinnacle's no-vig fair line as the sharp benchmark plus the highest price across other EU-region books, with the offering bookmaker named.
Announced starting XI for Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos.
Pro users see the announced starting XI, substitutes, and coach for both teams once lineups are released — typically about an hour before kickoff.
Per-team match statistics for Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos.
Pro users see twelve per-team match statistics — shots, possession, passes, cards, corners, fouls, offsides, and saves.
Sportmonks xG, xGOT, and xGA per side for Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos.
Pro users see expected goals (xG), expected goals on target (xGOT), and expected goals against (xGA) per team — the same xG signal the model trains against.
Recent meetings between Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos.
Pro users see recent head-to-head fixtures between Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos, with dates, competitions, and scores.
Recent form for Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos.
Pro users see the last 5 fixtures for Red Bull Salzburg and Pafos, with results and goal totals from each side.